Go after the 62 lakh, not the 800.
India has about 62 lakh FSSAI-registered or licensed food businesses (all kinds, not only makers) and only 9,000 to 11,000 D2C brands, of which about 800 are funded. Small makers are growing their value at 20.4% while the leaders do 8.8%. Only 129 of 64,000+ brands won on volume. Most small brands have a good product and no shelf. That is Brat's whole job.
India
NowBiggest base, fastest growth, and small makers are growing about 2.3× faster than the leaders.
| Metric | Value | Year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| FMCG market | US$289bn, to US$643bn by FY30 (forecast) | FY25 | IBEF, May 2026 |
| FMCG growth | 17% CAGR FY25–30 (forecast) | FY25–30 | KPMG, Jun 2026 |
| FMCG value growth, quarterly | +11% Q1, +13.9% Q2, +7.8% Q4 | 2025 | NIQ, 13 Mar 2026 |
| Small makers vs leaders | +20.4% value for makers under ₹100 cr, vs +8.8% for leaders | Q3 2025 | NIQ via ICE |
| Brands tracked | 64,000+ brands; only 129 were volume winners | MAT 2025 | NIQ via ICE |
| D2C market | US$10–12bn (narrow, McKinsey) to US$65bn GMV (broad, Inc42); US$55–60bn to US$310bn by 2030–31 | 2025 | McKinsey Feb 2026; Inc42 2026 |
| D2C brands | ≈9,000 (Redseer) to 11,000+ (Tracxn); ≈800 funded | 2023–24 | Redseer; Tracxn |
| New D2C brands a year | UNKNOWN. Proxy: 307–380 funding rounds a year; US$898m raised in 2025 | 2021–26 | Tracxn via TechNode, Aug 2026 |
| Food businesses (FSSAI) | 51.2 lakh registrations + 10.8 lakh state + 73,516 central licences; 1.7–2.2 lakh new a month | 2025 | FSSAI |
| FMCG sold online | 6% of urban, 14% metros, 18% top-8 metros; quick commerce is 75%+ of FMCG e-commerce | Dec 2025 | NIQ, Mar 2026 |
| Quick commerce | US$10–11bn GMV, to US$65–70bn by 2030 | 2025 | Bain, Apr 2026 |
| Gen Z | 43% of consumer spend (US$860bn), US$2tn by 2035 | 2024 | Snap × BCG, Oct 2024 |
UAE / Dubai
NextSmaller but rich, 11.9% of FMCG already online, and a premium, curated catalogue fits.
| Metric | Value | Year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| FMCG growth | +6.8% value (+4.9% volume); +7.3% Q1 2026 | 2025 | NIQ via Communicate, Feb 2026 |
| FMCG market | Estimate ≈US$8.5–9.2bn a year (4 × NIQ quarterly US$2.1–2.3bn) | 2024 | NIQ barometer |
| Packaged food | US$7.68bn, 5.4% CAGR to 2030 | 2025 | Dubai Intl Chamber, Jan 2026 |
| Online food | US$1.2bn, 8.5% CAGR to 2029 | 2025 | Dubai Intl Chamber, Jan 2026 |
| E-commerce, all | AED 42.2bn (US$11.5bn), to AED 67.2bn by 2030; 15.7% of retail | 2025 | EZDubai / Euromonitor, Sep 2026 |
| FMCG sold online | 11.9% | to Sep 2025 | NIQ |
| Food & beverage factories | 568 in the UAE, 315 in Dubai | undated | Emirates Food Security Council via Zawya |
| D2C size, brand count, launches a year | UNKNOWN | No reputable source found |
UK
LaterMature and slow (about 3% a year). Best as an export lane for Indian craft brands, not a launch market.
| Metric | Value | Year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery market (FMCG proxy) | £255bn (+4.3%), to £297bn by 2030 (3.0% CAGR) | 2025 | IGD, Jun 2025 |
| Food & drink manufacturers | 12,130 businesses; £42bn GVA; £25.6bn exports | 2025 | Food and Drink Federation |
| Online grocery | £23.4bn (−0.9%); ≈12% of grocery; £31.7bn by 2029 (forecast) | 2025 | IBISWorld; Kantar; Mintel |
| Challenger brands | Grew unit sales faster than category leaders (qualitative) | 2024–25 | NIQ via Retail Times |
| D2C size, brand count, launches a year | UNKNOWN (Mintel D2C report is paywalled) | Mintel, Sep 2025 |
Who we go after, in order
- Now, India, Delhi NCR first (Oct–Dec 2026). The 17-brand launch lineup, then small food and drink makers already selling on Instagram, their own sites, Amazon or Flipkart, who are under ₹100 cr turnover and want a Gen Z shelf. SuperNode's warehouse is near Gurugram, so NCR is the cheapest place to start.
- Next, India's top-8 metros (2027). 18% of FMCG is already bought online there, and quick commerce is 75%+ of FMCG e-commerce. Brat sits alongside quick-commerce listings, not against them.
- Then UAE / Dubai. A curated, premium Indian craft catalogue for a market that already buys 11.9% of FMCG online. Needs an importer and local food registration first. D2C market size there is UNKNOWN, so we test before we spend.
- Later, UK. An export lane for brands that work in India and the UAE. Growth is slow and won through retail listings, so it is not a launch market.
Where the brands come from
- Instagram and own-site D2C food and drink brands: the 9–11k pool, filtered to food, drink and wellness.
- Marketplace sellers: small makers on Amazon and Flipkart (Flipkart alone has 1.4m+ sellers).
- FSSAI licensees: the long tail of small makers with a licence and a pack but no online shelf.
- Founder referrals: every launch brand brings one. Pawan's network first.
What we track every Monday
| Measure | Target | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Brands live in the machine | 15 on 1 Nov (lineup) | 0 (pre-launch) |
| Brands plugged in free by 30 Oct | PROPOSED: set by Pawan and Virat | – |
| Founder forms received a week | PROPOSED | – |
| Orders and net sales a week | PROPOSED | – |
| Repeat customers (30 days) | PROPOSED | – |
| Brat's take after logistics, gateway and marketing (of the 49%) | PROPOSED | – |
Targets are left for Pawan and Virat to set. Nothing on this page is a forecast for Brat; market numbers are third-party figures with their sources.
What we still don't know
- New D2C brands launched per year in India (only funding rounds are counted publicly).
- Food, drink and wellness D2C as a share of India D2C.
- D2C market size and brand counts for the UAE and the UK.
- A reliable UAE quick-commerce size.
Go-live checklist, 1 November
- Brat entity, GSTIN and FSSAI licence (trading / e-commerce). Owner: Pawan and Virat. Needs a CA.
- SuperNode onboarding: warehouse near Gurugram, inbound, SKU master, dispatch. Owner: Pawan.
- Supply terms with each brand: 51% of MRP before GST, settled every Monday at 5 pm (Virat, 23 Oct; time zone, cut-off, returns holdback and payout rail to confirm), a dashboard for every brand to see its own analytics, returns, shelf life, NDA, and a warranty and indemnity for the brand's own claims. Owner: Virat approves, BR-01 drafts.
- Product data per SKU: from the founder form (read from each brand's site) plus FSSAI number and shelf life.
- Shelf life on delivery: at least 30% or 45 days before expiry (FSSAI).
- Payments: UPI and cards only, COD off, gateway in Brat's name. Owner: Virat.
- Free entry closes 30 October, 11:59 pm; then the listing fee applies (amounts in org_decisions).
- Domain: bratstore.online bought; connect it in Vercel and Namecheap. Owner: Virat.
- Instagram: kit ready at /preview/brat/social; posts only after Virat lifts the posting freeze.
- Brand book: v1.0 signed off by Virat, 23 Oct 2026.
Brand book, v1.0
- Line: DIGITAL VENDING MARKETPLACE™, for India's craft brands. Brat makes no "first" or "No. 1" claims of its own.
- Voice: short, loud, plain; a friend behind the counter. Real prices only, with source and date.
- Never say: elevate, seamless, unlock, revolutionise, game-changer, curated, synergy, empower, cutting-edge. No health claims of our own.
- Colour: pink #ff4fa3, lime #b6f23c, cyan #3fe0f0, sun #ffe14d, ink #1a1410, paper #fff8ea.
- Type: Anton signs, Tilt Neon neon, Roboto Mono prices, Inter body.
- Images: packs exactly as the brand shoots them; invented people labelled "concept visual" until the brand signs off.
- Full book:
case-study/brand-books/brat.md.